Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.005391 0.006151 0.007026 0.008119 0.009464 0.011083 0.013215
2025-11-16 0.004220 0.005119 0.006250 0.007813 0.009976 0.012960 0.017579
2025-11-23 0.003706 0.004689 0.006005 0.007965 0.010938 0.015529 0.023753
2025-11-30 0.003269 0.004260 0.005648 0.007831 0.011385 0.017400 0.029636
2025-12-07 0.002905 0.003871 0.005270 0.007566 0.011525 0.018756 0.035242
2025-12-14 0.002656 0.003609 0.005033 0.007465 0.011891 0.020611 0.043008
2025-12-21 0.002525 0.003504 0.005016 0.007711 0.012926 0.024157 0.057671
2025-12-28 0.002437 0.003451 0.005068 0.008081 0.014290 0.029013 0.081448
2026-01-04 0.002313 0.003329 0.004988 0.008190 0.015139 0.033046 0.108329
2026-01-11 0.002175 0.003169 0.004825 0.008111 0.015552 0.036125 0.136892
2026-01-18 0.002068 0.003049 0.004719 0.008125 0.016188 0.040242 0.181157
2026-01-25 0.001933 0.002874 0.004495 0.007865 0.016084 0.041939 0.215377
2026-02-01 0.001781 0.002665 0.004207 0.007465 0.015624 0.042559 0.248626
2026-02-08 0.001659 0.002502 0.003991 0.007198 0.015481 0.044444 0.306931
2026-02-15 0.001599 0.002443 0.003962 0.007334 0.016499 0.051864 0.496540
2026-02-22 0.001516 0.002334 0.003829 0.007214 0.016741 0.056194 0.707350
2026-03-01 0.001428 0.002211 0.003656 0.006978 0.016567 0.058462 0.931208
2026-03-08 0.001363 0.002126 0.003550 0.006887 0.016841 0.063509 1.448062
2026-03-15 0.001334 0.002105 0.003571 0.007108 0.018231 0.076990 3.861258
2026-03-22 0.001317 0.002103 0.003630 0.007438 0.020159 0.097930 24.596177
2026-03-29 0.001280 0.002061 0.003602 0.007535 0.021270 0.115416 769.376489
2026-04-05 0.001231 0.001995 0.003517 0.007464 0.021698 0.128030 NaN
2026-04-12 0.001193 0.001946 0.003464 0.007477 0.022498 0.147228 NaN